Call for Evacuation and Renewed Conflict in West Asia:-
Time to leave is now the advice has been for many months now please leave let’s turn to West Asia now where Benin Netanyahu faces a familiar Choice seiz fire or all out War he chose War last year and looks like he’s choosing the same again Israel has launched another round of strikes on Lebanon Reports say 72 people were killed which brings the death toll the total death toll to more than 62 this is how it started in Gaza 2 first Relentless aerial bombardment and then a ground offensive Israel’s Army Chief has already hinted at it you hear the Jet’s overhead we have been striking all day this is both to prepare the ground for your possible entry and to continue degrading Hezbollah .
Hezbollah’s Military Response:-
Today Hezbollah expanded its range of fire and later today they will receive a very strong response prepare yourself hisbah is also hitting back they have fired dozens of rockets at Israel they also targeted Israel spy agency mad but the damage is limited only two injuries have been reported so far if there is an allout war that would obviously change hisbah claims to have 100,000 Fighters One lakh Fighters they also have 150,000 Rockets plus Iranian ballistic missiles most of this Arsenal is stored Underground hisbah has also built a network of tunnels to move around and communicate basically they’ve been preparing for this for an assault from Israel.
Historical Context and Potential War Costs:-
We saw that in 2006 as well Israel and Lebanon fought a 34-day war in 2006 and hisbah Fighters held on for a ceasefire in other words Israel could not win that war but the cost of such a Faceoff is huge nearly 1 million Lebanese were displaced in 2006 the War cost them $2.8 billion it cost Israel $1.6 billion and this time.
Even Iran may join in they already have a score to settle with Israel and now is the perfect time Israel is politically isolated it is also fighting a two-front war the Iran’s foreign minister has already issued a warning Iran firmly upholds its inherent right to defend its vital interests and finally Iran will not remain in the different in case of a fullscale war in Lebanon we stand with the people of Lebanon with all means 2006 was bad 2024 could be worse which is why the world is calling for deescalation the US and France are pushing a 21-day Seas fire deal sort of like a temporary truce the hope is to use this period to figure out something permanent to diffuse the tensions around 12 countries are supporting the ceasefire.
Global Call for De-escalation:-
We put out a statement for 21 day ceasefire along the Israeli Lebanese border we able to generate significant support from Europe as well as the Arab Nations supp this war not widen we must not we cannot have a war in Lebanon there cannot be a war in Lebanon this is why we urge Israel to cease this escalation in Lebanon and to we urge Hezbollah to Cease the missile launches to Israel there’s one problem though this isn’t binding on Israel it’s just a joint statement by 12 countries .
If You’re Expecting Israel to abide by that you clearly do not know Netanyahu so what about a binding statement maybe something from the United Nations security Council how about that well France and Britain did propose that but the US shot it down they had some ISS issues with a wording of The Proposal so Washington killed it as for this new proposal Israel has already rejected it.
Israel’s Rejection of Ceasefire Proposals:-
Look at what their foreign minister said and quoting there will be no ceasefire in the north we will continue to fight against the terrorist organization Hezbollah it’s funny how he specified the north it’s not like Israel is championing a ceasefire in the South or anywhere in fact they have ignored every single stakeholder in this war the United Nations the Arab states their own allies and partners everyone is asking Israel to stop now yet Netanyahu is doing the opposite.
Evacuations Underway Amid Growing Tensions:-
So a lot of countries are preparing for the worst they’re asking citizens to leave Lebanon the US and Britain have deployed troops to the region they say it’s to help with evacuations turkey is preparing to do the same so are India and Australia the Indian Embassy in Beirut has issued three advisories in 48 hours three advisories in 48 hours the latest one is asking Indians to leave Lebanon immediately China too has done the same .
Netanyahu’s Political Calculations:-
So none of the signs are good for the world but for Netanyahu they’re great this is exactly what he wants his war in Gaza is not popular among Israelis but a war in with hisbah would be popular you see 70,000 Israelis have been displaced from the Northern parts of Israel from northern Israel and they can only return if hisbah is quiet so most Israelis support a war in the North .
Diplomatic Efforts Facing Challenges:-
We’ll have more clarity in the coming days Netanyahu has arrived in New York he’s expected to address the UN General Assembly on Friday even in peace time his speeches are dramatic so expect something over the top but today it was Palestinian president Mahmud abbas’s turn he’s 88 years old but at the United Nations General Assembly.
He was animated and defiant abas accused Israel of carrying out a genocide he also vowed that Palestinians would never leave their land we will not leave we will not leave we will not leavee is our homeland of our fathers our our grandfathers it will remain anyone were to leave it would be the occupying usurpers nethania is in the same city as his allies and Rivals it’s a great chance for aom atic solution to sit down and talk things out but frankly there is little hope temperatures are running very high at the moment so diplomacy certainly not on Nathan’s mind nonetheless we’ll be tracking .